Bitcoin Price Today 📈 Live Bitcoin Value - Charts & Market

Update on my Bitcoin valuation chart

Update on my Bitcoin valuation chart submitted by SethEllis to btc [link] [comments]

Update on my Bitcoin valuation chart

Update on my Bitcoin valuation chart submitted by BitcoinAllBot to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

Two Roads Diverge | Monthly FIRE Portfolio Update - May 2020

Two roads diverged in a yellow wood, And sorry I could not travel both And be one traveler, long I stood And looked down one as far as I could To where it bent in the undergrowth
Robert Frost, The Road Not Taken
This is my forty-second portfolio update. I complete this update monthly to check my progress against my goal.
Portfolio goal
My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2 180 000 by 1 July 2021. This would produce a real annual income of about $87 000 (in 2020 dollars).
This portfolio objective is based on an expected average real return of 3.99 per cent, or a nominal return of 6.49 per cent.
Portfolio summary
Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund – $727 917
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund – $42 128
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund – $78 569
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund – $110 009
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS) – $187 003
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS) – $39 987
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200) – $225 540
Telstra shares (TLS) – $1 726
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG) – $7 741
NIB Holdings shares (NHF) – $5 652
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX) – $117 714
Secured physical gold – $18 982
Ratesetter (P2P lending) – $11 395
Bitcoin – $159 470
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio) – $16 357
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio) – $2 492
BrickX (P2P rental real estate) – $4 477
Total portfolio value: $1 757 159 (+$62 325 or 3.7%)
Asset allocation
Australian shares – 41.4% (3.6% under)
Global shares – 22.2%
Emerging markets shares – 2.3%
International small companies – 3.0%
Total international shares – 27.4% (2.6% under)
Total shares – 68.8% (6.2% under)
Total property securities – 0.3% (0.3% over)
Australian bonds – 4.4%
International bonds – 9.7%
Total bonds – 14.1% (0.9% under)
Gold – 7.8%
Bitcoin – 9.1%
Gold and alternatives – 16.9% (6.9% over)
Presented visually, below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.
[Chart]
Comments
This month featured a further recovery in the overall portfolio, continuing to effectively reduce the size of the large losses across the first quarter.
The portfolio has increased by around $62 000, leading to a portfolio growth of 3.7 per cent. This means that around half of the large recent falls have been made up, and the portfolio sits around levels last reached in October of last year.
[Chart]
Leading the portfolio growth has been increases in Australian shares - particularly those held through the Betashares A200 and Vanguard VAS exchange traded funds, with both gaining over four per cent. Most other holdings remained steady, or fell slightly.
Markets appear to be almost entirely disconnected from the daily announcements of the sharp effects of the global coronavirus pandemic and the resulting restrictions. Bond and equity markets seem to have different and competing expectations for the future, and equity markets - at best - are apparently intent on looking through the immediate recovery phase to a new period of strong expansion.
[Chart]
On some metrics, both major global and Australian equity markets can be viewed as quite expensive, especially as reduced dividends announced have largely yet to be delivered. Yet if historically low bond yields are considered, it can be argued that some heightening compared to historical equity market valuations may be sustainable.
Reflecting this moment of markets holding their breath before one of two possible futures plays out, gold and Bitcoin remain elevated, and consequently above their target weightings.
Perhaps the same contending forces are in evidence in a recent Australian Securities and Investment Commission study (pdf) which has found that average Australian retail investors have reacted to uncertainty by activating old brokerage accounts, trading more frequently, and holding securities for shorter periods. My own market activity has been limited to purchases of Vanguard Australian shares ETF (VAS) and the international share ETF (VGS), to bring the portfolio closer to its target allocations.
Will Australia continue to be lucky through global slow downs?
Despite this burst of market activity in the retail market, it is unclear how Australian markets and equities will perform against the background of a global economic slowdown. A frequently heard argument is that a small open trade exposed commodities provider such as Australia, with a more narrowly-based economy, may perform poorly in a phase of heightened risk.
This recent Bank of England paper (pdf) makes the intriguing suggestion that this argument is not borne out by the historical record. In fact, the paper finds that industrial production in Australia, China and a mere handful of other economies has tended to increase following global risk shocks.
A question remaining, however, is whether the recovery from this 'risk shock' may have different characteristics and impacts than similar past events. One key question may be the exact form of government fiscal and monetary responses adopted. Another is whether inflation or deflation is the likely pathway - an unknown which itself may rely on whether long-term trends in the velocity of money supply continue, or are broken.
Facing all uncertainties, attention should be on tail risks - and minimising the odds of extreme negative scenarios. The case for this is laid out in this moving reflection by Morgan Housel. For this reason, I am satisfied that my Ratesetter Peer-to-Peer loans have been gradually maturing, reducing some 'tail risk' credit exposures in what could be a testing phase for borrowers through new non-bank lending channels in Australia. With accrued interest of over $13 000, at rates of around 9 per cent on average, over the five years of the investment, the loans have performed relatively well.
A temporary sheltering port - spending continues to decline
This month spending has continued to fall even as lockdown and other restrictions have slowly begun to ease. These extraordinary events have pushed even the smoothed average of three year expenditure down.
[Chart]
On a monthly basis credit card spending and total expenses have hit the lowest levels in more than six years. Apparently, average savings rates are up across many economies, though obviously individual experiences and starting points can differ dramatically.
Total estimated monthly expenditure has also fallen below current estimates of distributions for the first time since a period of exceptionally high distributions across financial year 2017-18.
The result of this is that I am briefly and surprisingly, for this month, notionally financially independent based on assumed distributions from the FIRE portfolio alone - at least until more normal patterns of expenditure are resumed.
Following the lines of drift - a longer view on progress made
Yet taking a longer view - and accounting for the final portfolio goal set - gives a different perspective. This is of a journey reaching toward, but not at, an end.
The chart below traces in purely nominal dollar terms the progress of the total portfolio value as a percentage of the current portfolio goal of $2.18 million over the last 13 years.
It also shows three labels, with the percentage progress at the inception of detailed portfolio data in 2007, at the start of this written record in January 2017, and as at January 1 of this year.
[Chart]
Two trend lines are shown - one a polynomial and the other exponential function - and they are extended to include a projection of future progress out to around 18 months.
The line of fit is close for the early part of the journey, but larger divergences from both trend lines are evident in the past two years as the impact of variable investment returns on a larger portfolio takes hold.
There are some modest inaccuracies introduced by the nominal methodology adopted - such as somewhat discounting early progress. A 2007 dollar had greater 'real' value and significance than is assigned to it by this representation. The chart does demonstrate, however, the approximate shape and length of the early journey - with it taking around 5 years to reach 20 per cent of the target, and 10 years to reach around half way.
Progress
Progress against the objective, and the additional measures I have reached is set out below.
Measure Portfolio All Assets
Portfolio objective – $2 180 000 (or $87 000 pa) 80.6% 108.4%
Credit card purchases – $71 000 pa 98.3% 132.3%
Total expenses – $89 000 pa 78.8% 106.0%
Summary
With aspects of daily life slowly and incrementally adjusting to a 'new normal', the longer-term question for the portfolio remains around how markets and government actions interact in a recovery phase.
The progress of the portfolio over the past 13 years has seemed, when viewed from afar as in chart above, predictable, and almost inevitable. Through the years it has felt anything but so smoothly linear. Rather, tides and waves have pushed and pulled, in turn stalling progress, or pushing it further ahead than hopes have dared.
It is possible that what lays ahead is a simple 'return leg', or more of the same. That through simple extrapolation around 80 per cent of the challenges already lay behind. Yet that is not the set of mind that I approach the remainder of the journey with. Rather, the shortness of the distance to travel has lent an extra focus on those larger, lower probability, events that could delay the journey or push it off-course. Those 'third' risks types of tail risks which Morgan Housel points out.
In one sense the portfolio allocation aims to deal - in a probabilistic way - with the multiple futures that could occur.
Viewed in this way, a gold allocation (and also Bitcoin) represents a long option on an extreme state of the economic world arising - as it did in the early 1980s. The 75 per cent target allocation to equities can be viewed as a high level of assurance around a 'base case' that human ingenuity and innovation will continue to create value over the long term.
The bond portfolio, similarly, can be seen as assigning a 15 per cent probability that both of these hypotheses are incorrect, and that further market falls and possible deflation are ahead. That perhaps even an experience akin to the lengthy, socially dislocating, post-bubble phase in Japan presided over by its central bank lays in store.
In other interesting media consumed this month, 'Fire and Chill', the brand new podcast collaboration between Pat the Shuffler and Strong Money Australia got off to an enjoyable start, tackling 'Why Bother with FIRE' and other topics.
Additionally, investment company Incrementum has just published the latest In Gold We Trust report, which gives an arrestingly different perspective on potential market and policy directions from traditional financial sources.
The detailed report questions the role and effectiveness of traditionally 'risk-free' assets like government bonds in the types of futures that could emerge. On first reading, the scenarios it contains appear atypical and beyond the reasonable contemplation of many investors - until it is recalled that up to a few years ago no mainstream economics textbook would have entertained the potential for persistent negative interest rates.
As the paths to different futures diverge, drawing on the wisdom of others to help look as far as possible into the bends in the undergrowth ahead becomes the safest choice.
The post, links and full charts can be seen here.
submitted by thefiexpl to fiaustralia [link] [comments]

The White Dragon : A Canadian Dragon Portfolio

Alright guys, Ive been working on this for a while and a post on here by a guy describing his portfolio here was the final kick in the ass for me to put this together. I started writing this to summarize what Im doing for my friends who are beginners, and also for me to make some sense of it for myself
Hopefully parts of it are useful to you, and also ideally you guys can point out errors or have a suggestion or two. I'm posting this here as opposed to investing or canadianinvestor (blech) because they're just gonna tell me to buy an index fund.
This first section is a preamble describing the Canadian tax situation and why Im doing things the way that I am. Feel free to skip it if you dont care about that. Also, there might be mistake regarding what the laws are here so dont take my word for it and verify it for yourself please.
So here in Canada we have two types of registered accounts (theres actually more but whatver). There is the TFSA "Tax Free Savings Account", and RRSP "Registered Retirement Savings Account"
For the sake of simplicity, from the time you turn 18 you are allowed to deposit 5k (it changes year to year based on inflation etc)in each of them. That "room" accumulates retroactively, so if you haventdone anything and are starting today and you are 30 you have around 60k you can put in each of them. The prevailing wisdom is that you should max out the TFSA first and you'll see why in a minute.

TFSA is post tax deposits, with no capital gains or other taxes applied to selling your securities, dividends or anything else. You can withdraw your gains at any time, and the amount that you withdraw is added to the "room" you have for the next year. So lets say I maxed out my TFSA contributions and I take out 20k today, on January of next year I can put back in 20k plus the 5 or whatever they allow for that year. You can see how powerful this is. Theres a few limitations on what is eligable to be held in the TFSA such as bitcoin/bitcoin ETFs, overseas stocks that arent listed on NYSE, TSX, london and a few others. You can Buy to Open and Sell to Close call and put options as well as write Covered Calls.

The RRSP is pre-tax deposits and is a tax deferred scheme. You deposit to lower your income tax burden (and hopefully drop below a bracket) but once you retire you will be taxed on anything you pull out. Withdrawing early has huge penalties and isnt recommended. You are however allowed to borrow against it for a down payment as a first time home buyer. The strategy with these is that a youngperson entering the workforce is likely to be in a fairly low tax bracket and (hopefully) earns more money as they get older and more skilled so the RRSP has more value the greater your pre-taxincome is. You can also do this Self Directed. Its not relevant to this strategy but I included it for the sake of context.
Non registered accounts ( or any other situation, such as selling commercial real estate etc) is subject to a capital gains tax. In so far as I understand it, you add all your gains and losses up at the end of the year. If its a positive number, you cut that number IN HALF and add it to your regular pre-tax income. So if I made 60k from the dayjob and 20k on my margin account that adds up to 70k that I get taxed on. if its a loss, you carry that forward into the next year. Theres no distinction between long term and short term. Also physical PMs are treated differently and I'll fill that part in later once I have the details down.
The reason why all that babble is important is that my broker Questrade, which isnt as good as IB (the only real other option up here as far as Im aware) has one amazing feature that no other broker has: "Margin Power"
If you have a TFSA and a Margin account with them, you can link them together and have your securities in the TFSA collateralise your Margin account. Essentially, when it comes to the Maintenance Excess of the Margin Account QT doesnt care if its in the TFSA *or* the Margin!
You can see how powerful this is.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
So as you can tell by the title, a lot of this is heavily inspired by Chris Cole's paper "The Allegory of the Hawk and the Serpent". You can read it here: https://www.artemiscm.com/welcome#research
Between it, his interviews and my mediocre options skills at the time my mind was blown. Unfortunately I didnt know how to do the Long Volatility part until after the crash in March but I've since then had nothing but time to scour the internet and learn as much as I could.
The way I interpret this isnt necessarily "what you should have right now", but what abstracted model they were able to backtest that gave them the best performance over the 90 years. Also, a lot of my portfolio I already had before I started trying to build this.
As such my allocations dont match the proportions he gave. Not saying my allocations are better, just showing where they are at this time.
I'm going to describe how I do Long Volatility at the end rather than the beginning since the way *I* do it wont make sense until you see the rest of the portflio.

Physical PMs 22%
I'm not sure wether he intended this to be straight up physical gold or include miners and royalty streaming companies so I will just keep this as physical.
I consider Silver to be a non-expiring call option on gold, so that can live here too. I am actually *very* overweight silver and my strategy is to convert a large portion of it to gold (mostly my bars)
to gold as the ratio tightens up.
If youre into crypto, you can arguably say that has a place in this section.
If an ETF makes sense for part of your portfolio, I suggest the Sprott ones such as PHYS. Sprott is an honest business and they actually have the metal they say they have. If you have enough, you can redeem your shares from the Royal Canadian Mint. The only downside is that they dont have an options chain, so you cant sell covered calls etc. Simple enough I suppose.
One thing to bear in mind, there is a double edged sword with this class of assets. They're out of the system, theyre nobody's business but your own and theres no counter party. That
unfortunately means that you cant lever against it for margin or sell covered calls etc. You can still buy puts though (more on that later)

Commodity Trend (CTA) 10%
https://youtu.be/tac8sWPZW0w
Patrick Ceresna gave a good presentation on what this strategy is. Until I watched this video I just thought it meant "buy commodities". A real CTA does this with futures also so aside from the way he showed, there are two other ETFs that are worth looking at.
COM - This is an explicit trend following ETF that follows a LONG/FLAT strategy instead of LONG/SHORT on a pile of commodity futures. So if they get a "sell" signal for oil or soybeans they sell what they have and go to cash.
COMT- Holds an assortment of different month futures in different commodities, as well as a *lot* of various related shares in producers. Its almost a one stop shop commodities portfolio. Pays a respectable dividend in December
If you want to break the "rules" of CTA, and include equities theres a few others that are also worth looking at
KOL- This is a coal ETF. The problems with it are that a lot of the holdings dont have much to do with coal. One of them is a tractor company. A lot of the companies are Chinese so theres a bit of a red flag.
Obviously Thermal Coal, the kind used for heating and powerplants isnt in vogue and wont be moving forward...but coking coal is used for steel manufacturing and that ain't going anywhere. The dividend is huge, pays out in December. A very very small position might be worth the risk.
Uranium- I'm in URA because thats the only way for me to get exposure to Kazatoprom (#1 producer), which is 20% of the holdings. The other 20% is Cameco (#2 producer)and then its random stuff.
Other than that I have shares in Denison which seems like its a good business with some interesting projects underway. I'm still studying the uranium space so I dont really have much to say about it of any value.
RSX- Russia large caps. If you dont want to pick between the myriad of undervalued, high dividend paying commodity companies that Russia has then just grab this. It only pays in December but it has a liquid options chain so you can do Covered Calls in the meantime if you want.
NTR- Nutrien, canadian company that was formed when two others merged. They are now the worlds largest potash producer. Pretty good dividend. They have some financial difficulties and the stocks been in a downtrend forever. I feel its a good candidate to watch or sell some puts on.
I'm trying to come up with a way to play agriculture since this new phase we're going to be entering is likely to cause huge food shortages.

EURN and NAT- I got in fairly early on the Tanker hype before it was even hype as a way to short oil but I got greedy and lost a lot of my gains. I pared down my position and I'm staying for the dividend.
If you get an oil sell signal, this might be a way to play that still.

Fixed Income/Bonds 10%

Now, I am not a bond expert but unless youre doing some wacky spreads with futures or whatever... I dont see much reason to buy government debt any more. If you are, youre basically betting that they take rates negative. Raoul Pal of Real Vision is pretty firm in his conviction that this will happen. I know better than to argue with him but I dont see risk/reward as being of much value.
HOWEVER, I found two interesting ETFs that seem to bring something to this portfolio
IVOL- This is run by Nancy Davis, and is comprised of TIPS bonds which are nominally inflation protected (doubt its real inflation but whatever) overlayed with some OTC options that are designed to pay off big if the Fed loses control of the long end of the yield curve, which is what might happen during a real inflation situation. Pays out a decent yield monthly
TAIL- This is a simpler portfolio of 10yr treasuries with ladder of puts on the SPX. Pays quarterly.

Equities 58% (shared with options/volatility below)
This is where it gets interesting, obviously most of this is in mining shares but before I get to those I found some interesting stuff that I'm intending to build up as I pare down my miners when the time comes to start doing that.
VIRT- I cant remember where I saw this, but people were talking about this as a volatility play. Its not perfect, but look at the chart compared to SPY. Its a HFT/market making operation, the wackier things get the more pennies they can scalp. A 4% dividend isnt shabby either.
FUND- This is an interesting closed end fund run by Whitney George, one of the principals at Sprott. He took it with him when he joined the company. Ive read his reports and interviews and I really like his approach to value and investing. He's kind of like if Warren Buffett was a gold bug. Theres 120 holdings in there, mostly small caps and very diverse...chicken factories, ball bearings all kinds of boring ass shit that nobody knows exists. Whats crucial is that most of it "needs to exist". Between him, his family and other people at Sprott they control 40% or so of the shares, so they definitely have skin in the game. Generous dividend.
ZIG- This is a "deep value" strategy fund, run by Tobias Carlisle. He has a fairly simple valuation formula called the Acquirer's Multiple that when he backtested it, is supposed to perform very well. He did an interview with Chris Cole on real Vision where he discusses how Value and Deep Value havent done well recently, but over the last 100 years have proven to be very viable strategies. If we feel that theres a new cycle brewing, then this strategy may work again moving forward.

I want to pause and point out something here, Chris Cole, Nassim Taleb and the guys at Mutiny Fund spend a lot of effort explaining that building a portfolio is a lot like putting together a good basketall team. They need to work together, and pick up each others slack
A lot of the ETFs I'm listing here are in many ways portfolios in and of themselves and are *actively managed*. I specifically chose them because they follow a methodology that I respect but I can't do myself because I dont have the skill, temperament or access to.
The next one is a hidden gem and ties into this. I'm not sure how much more upside there is in this one but man was I surprised.
SII- Sprott Inc. I *never* see people listing this stock in their PMs portfolios. A newsletter I'm subscribed to described this stock as the safest way to play junior miners. Their industry presence, intellectual capital and connections means that they get *the best* private placement deals in the best opportunities. I cant compete with a staff like theirs and I'm not going to try. I bought this at 2.50, and I liked the dividend. Since then they did a reverse split to get on the NYSE and like the day after the stock soared.
When it comes to mining ETFS I like GOAU and SILJ the best. None of their major holdings are dead weight companies that are only there because of market cap. I dont want Barrick in my portfolio etc.
SGDJ is a neat version of GDXJ.
Aside from that my individual miners/royalty companies are (no particular order)
MMX
SAND
PAAS
PGM
AUM
AG
MUX
RIO- Rio2 on the tsx, not rio tinto
KTN
KL
Options/Volatility: varies
So this is where we get to the part about options, Volatility and how I do it. I started out in the options space with The Wheel strategy and the Tastytrade approach of selling premium. The spreads and puts I sell, are on shares listed above, in fact some of those I dont hold anymore.
Theres tons of stuff on this in thetagang and options so I wont go into a whole bunch (and you shouldnt be learning the mechanics from me anyway) but theres one thing I want to go over before it gets wild.
If I sell a Cash Secured Put, from a risk management perspective its identical to just buying 100 shares of the underlying security. You are equally "Short Vol" as well, it just that with options
its a little more explicit with the Greeks and everything. But if I use my margin that I was talking about earlier, then I can still collect the premium and the interest doesnt kick in unless Im actually assigned the shares.
But if I sell too many puts on KL or AG, and something happens where the miners get cut down (and lets be real, they all move together) my margin goes down and then I get assigned and kaboom...my account gets blown up
So what I need to do, is balance out the huge Short Vol situation in my portfolio, be net Long Vol and directly hedge my positions. Since the overwhelming majority of my equities are all tied to bullion this is actually a very easy thing to do.

Backspreads
https://youtu.be/pvX5_rkm5x0
https://youtu.be/-jTvWOGVsK8
https://youtu.be/muYjjm934iY

So I set this up so the vast majority of my margin is tied up in these 1-2 or even 1-3 ratio put spreads that *I actually put on for a small credit*, and roll them every once in a while. I run them on SLV, and GDX.
I keep enough room on my margin so I can withstand a 10% drawdown before it sets off the long end of the spreads and then I can ride it out until it turns around and we keep the PM bull market going.
Theres another cool spread I've been using, which is a modified Jade Lizard; if already hold shares, I'll sell a put, sell a covered call, and use some of the premium to buy a longer dated call. Ive been running this on AG mostly.
I have a few more spreads I can show you but Im tired now so it'll have to wait for later.
As I said multiple times, I do intend to trim these miners later but now isnt the time for that IMO. I'm also monitoring this almost full time since I have an injury and have nothing better to do until I heal :p
submitted by ChudBuntsman to pmstocks [link] [comments]

New Lands, or New Eyes? | Monthly FIRE Portfolio Update - April 2020

The real voyage of discovery consists not in seeking new landscapes, but in having new eyes.
- Marcel Proust, Remembrance of Things Past
This is my forty-first portfolio update. I complete this update monthly to check my progress against my goal.
Portfolio goal
My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2 180 000 by 1 July 2021. This would produce a real annual income of about $87 000 (in 2020 dollars).
This portfolio objective is based on an expected average real return of 3.99 per cent, or a nominal return of 6.49 per cent.
Portfolio summary
Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund – $697 582
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund – $40 709
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund – $76 583
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund – $110 563
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS) – $174 864
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS) – $31 505
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200) – $215 805
Telstra shares (TLS) – $1 625
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG) – $7 323
NIB Holdings shares (NHF) – $5 904
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX) – $119 458
Secured physical gold – $19 269
Ratesetter (P2P lending) – $12 234
Bitcoin – $158 360
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio) – $16 144
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio) – $2 435
BrickX (P2P rental real estate) – $4 471
Total portfolio value: $1 694 834 (+$127 888 or 8.2%)
Asset allocation
Australian shares – 40.9% (4.1% under)
Global shares – 21.7%
Emerging markets shares – 2.2%
International small companies – 3.0%
Total international shares – 26.9% (3.1% under)
Total shares – 67.8% (7.2% under)
Total property securities – 0.3% (0.3% over)
Australian bonds – 4.5%
International bonds – 9.9%
Total bonds – 14.4% (0.6% under)
Gold – 8.2%
Bitcoin – 9.3%
Gold and alternatives – 17.5% (7.5% over)
Presented visually, below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio.
Comments
This month featured a sharp recovery in the overall portfolio, reducing the size of the large losses experienced over the previous month.
The portfolio increased by over $127 000, representing a growth of 8.2 per cent, which is the largest month-on-month growth on record. This now puts the portfolio value significantly above the levels of a year ago.
[Chart]
The expansion in the value of the portfolio has occurred due to an increase in Australian and global equities markets, as well as substantial increases the price of Bitcoin. This is effectively the mirror image of the simultaneous negative movements last month.
From a nadir of initial pessimism in late March, markets have generally moved upwards as debate continues about the path of a likely economic recession and recovery from Coronavirus impacts over the coming year.
[Chart]
First quarter distributions from the Australian and Global Shares ETFs (A200, VAS and VGS) were received this month. These were too early to fully reflect the sharp economic activity impacts of the Coronavirus and lockdown period on company earnings.
Despite this, they were significantly down on a cents per unit basis on the equivalent distributions last year. Totalling around $2700, these distributions formed part of new contributions to Vanguard's Australian shares ETF (VAS).
The rapid falls in equity have many participants looking forward to a return to normalcy, or at least more open to the pleasing ideas that nerves have been held in a market fall comparable to 2000 or 2008-09, and that markets now represent clear value. As discussed last month, there should be caution and some humility about these questions, if some historical perspective is taken. As an example, the largest global equity market in the world - the United States - remains at valuation levels well above those experienced in previous market lows.
Portfolio alternatives - tracking changes under the surface
A striking feature of the past year or so has been the expansion of the non-traditional or 'alternatives' components of gold and Bitcoin as a proportion of the overall portfolio. Currently, when combined these alternative assets form a greater part of the portfolio than at any point over the past two years.
The chart below shows that since January 2019 the gold and Bitcoin component of the portfolio has lifted from around its long term target level of 10 per cent, to now make up over 17 per cent of the portfolio. In the space of the last four months alone, it has lifted from 13 per cent.
[Chart]
With no purchases of either gold or Bitcoin over the period, the growth in the chart is the result of two reinforcing factors:
A substantial fall in the value of the equity portfolio - reaching nearly $200 000 since the recent February market peak has naturally and mathematically led to a commensurate increase the proportion of other assets.
Increases in the value of gold and Bitcoin - have also played a role with a total appreciation of around $150 000 across the two assets over the past 16 months.
In fact, the value gold holdings alone have increased by over 40 per cent since January last year. Further appreciation of either gold or Bitcoin prices, particularly if any further falls in equity markets occur, could easily place the portfolio in the same position as experienced in January 2018.
At that time these alternative assets made up 1 in every 5 dollars of the portfolio, an unusual, and in that case temporary phenomenon. This represents a different portfolio and risk exposure than that envisaged in my portfolio investment plan.
Yet, equally it is critical to recall what the circumstances would likely be for this to arise. Simultaneously high gold and Bitcoin prices are more likely to occur in a situation of severe capital market dislocation, or falling confidence. On the other hand, should confidence and equity market growth be restored, both of these portfolio components could fall back to lower levels.
It is difficult to tell which state of the world will eventuate, a key reason for diversification across asset types. United States government debt is already at record levels - equivalent in real terms to levels last seen when it emerged out of the Second World War - despite no similar national effort having being undertaken.
Future inflation can potentially partly manage this burden, however, the last sustained episode of persistently high inflation rates during the decade of the 1970s spelt negative real returns. Where investors expect future inflation or financially 'repressive' policies of inflation exceeding interest rates, the economic growth required to 'grow out' of debt can be affected.
At this point, my inclination is to address this circumstance gradually through time by re-balancing of distributions and new contributions, rather than to realise capital gains by selling assets at one, or several, points in time.
Chasing down the lines - falling average spending in lockdown
Since the implementation of lockdown restrictions, average credit card expenditure has fallen by nearly 30 per cent. This has taken credit card expenditure to lower than any similar period in the past six years.
Partly as a result of this - as the chart below shows - a new development is occurring. The previously fairly steady card expenses line (red) is now starting to bend down towards, or 'chase', the rolling average distributions line (in blue).
[Chart]
The declining distributions line is a result of some previous high distributions gradually falling outside of the data 'window' for the rolling three-year comparison of distributions and expenditure.
This intriguing picture will probably change before a cross-over occurs, as lockdown restrictions ease, and as the data feeding into the three year average slowly changes over time.
Progress
Progress against the objective, and the additional measures I have reached is set out below.
Measure Portfolio All Assets
Portfolio objective – $2 180 000 (or $87 000 pa) 77.7% 104.6%
Credit card purchases – $71 000 pa 94.8% 127.6%
Total expenses – $89 000 pa 76.0% 102.3%
Summary
Last month market volatility theoretically took progress down to below most of my financial independence benchmarks on an 'All Assets' (i.e. portfolio and superannuation assets) basis. This position has reversed this month. As markets have recovered and with additional spare time in the lockdown period, I have continued to seek out and think about different perspectives on the history and future of markets.
Yet it must be recognised that there is a natural limit to the utility of these ponderings. The shape of the future is always uncertain, and in this world, confident comparisons and analogies with past events can be perilous. Comparisons with past periods of financial market crises miss the centrality of government action as a causal influence on the path of virus affected economies and markets.
A virus and recovery is not the same as a global financial crisis originating in housing finance markets addressed through monetary and fiscal stimulus. Most developed country governments have quickly applied the same, if not larger versions of responses as applied in the global financial crisis, a distinguishing step that also makes analogies with the great depression era problematic.
Similarly, a pandemic is not hitting and interacting with the shattered economic and health systems of the 1918-19 Spanish flu. Overlaying all of this is the imperfect and partially disconnected relationship between the economy today, and equity markets that discount and focus on the future.
This makes all history's lessons more than usually caveated and conditional. One avenue for managing through these times is to focus on what does not change - the psychological difficulty of accepting alterations in financial circumstances and the capacity of markets movements to cruelly surprise us in both timing and direction.
One of the best texts to read to get a sense of both of these in such times is Benjamin Roth's A Great Depression Diary. This tells of the day-by-day changes observed in everyday urban life and investment markets, from the point of view of an American small retail investor living through the times.
This month also saw the exciting news that Pat the Shuffler and Strong Money Australia are combining efforts to produce a new podcast. Speaking of which, Big ERN's reflections on the current implications of sharemarket market movements for seekers of financial independence have been filled with insight and wisdom.
This interesting piece (video) - the latest in a 'virus' market series - from New York University's Professor of Finance Aswath Damodaran on asset performances through the past few months - is a more technical and detailed discussion of how markets have re-priced businesses and profits. Finally, the recently released Hmmminar interview series provides a more heterodox set of speakers and ideas on current markets, presented by Grant Williams.
Unlike predicting the future, seeking out different perspectives on it is perhaps the easiest it has ever been in history. While it is not always possible to change the course taken, it is possible to look at the same horizon with new eyes.
The post, links and full charts can be seen here.
submitted by thefiexpl to fiaustralia [link] [comments]

LeanFIRE and Goal Oriented Investing: 10 Mistakes you should avoid

Dear All -
After my earlier post regarding COVID-19 and 10 rules to deploy savings that generated lots of questions and interest I would like to share my thoughts about Goal Oriented Investing. While it's a 101 it may nevertheless be helpful to highlight especially in this market environment. I wasn't able to put graphs and videos here so you may find the full version here. Looking forward to hearing your feedback.

1. Not clearly defining your goals. Define your objectives and think in terms of sub-portfolios

Define your short and long term goals. Allocate to asset classes based on your time horizon (e.g. short term goals need to be carefully managed with a defensive portfolio since the short term volatility of high risk assets like stocks can hurt you). Be sure to have a reserve fund of liquid short-term investments and cash so you can cover emergencies and upcoming large expenses without having to sell your investments during down markets.

2. Not being patient and overreacting. Good things come to those who wait

Returns tend to smooth out over the long term. There is a myth about a Fidelity study that analysed all its performing accounts and realised that best performance came out of portfolios of people who either forgot about their accounts or were dead. You can understand why people believe these findings although the study never took place (look at the chart here - 1 to 20 year rolling performance again!). Logging into your brokepension plan account every day may not be helpful. You may tend to react – do not rush investment decisions.

3. Oveunderestimating your risk tolerance

Take a risk tolerance assessment if necessary to understand your risk profile. Your risk tolerance is important to tweak the asset allocation of your goal sub-portfolio. It is determined by: the degree of flexibility you have with regard to your financial goal, and your personal comfort level with volatility in your portfolio.

4. Aiming at influencing things outside of your control. Focus of what’s in your control

This is the Stoic part of the 10 recommendations (if you also happen to adhere to this philosophy get the Stoic newsletter I never stopped reading for the past 5 years). One of the eye-openers that you learn while studying for the gruelling (Chartered Financial Analyst ‘CFA’) Charter is that research estimates that asset allocation (not stock selection!) drives up to c. 90% of overall portfolio performance. You control asset allocation and rebalancing. You do control your spending and savings that will grow over time – don’t waste most of your time on researching individual stocks (read: Are you more qualified than a professional analyst).

5. Not acquiring enough education and taking excessive idiosyncratic risks

Some of the most trending Google searches during this COVID-19 pandemic include ‘best stocks to buy now’, ‘how to invest in oil stocks’, ‘best stock for 2020’ or ‘best investments for 2020’ etc. In fact the phrase ‘how to buy a stock’ surged to record highs. This also relates to FOMO which I have described here and chasing upward trends in a bear market. Acquiring Investment Knowledge is key as it is ultimately your decisions that will determine whether your hard-earned savings generate long term returns. Do your homework. Understand investment risks. Research fundamentals. Take a bit more time if needed – the market is efficient and is pricing in information relatively quickly – you have no edge in acting quickly.

6. Being overly conservative over the long run

Think of your goals as liabilities that you need to match with your investments. The power of compounding means that you need a much lower amount today to meet a higher amount expenditure in the future. Einstein said compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn’t, pays it. If you have high needs with long time horizon you need to take calculated risks. Invest too defensively (e.g. low allocation to Equities) and it may not match your long term objective. Buffett’s exceptional investment returns are also due to his time horizon.

7. Holding excessive cash. Not taking risks involves high opportunity costs

Believe it or not but a lot of bankers working for the top names tend to hold cash and under-invest. By holding cash you are not only missing out on compounding interest but also paying more taxes! Inflation is an indirect tax that works by destroying savings in exchange for gov’t financing. It gets worse – as central banks print an unprecedented amount of money – most standard measurements of inflation, such as the consumer price index (CPI), do not account for the disproportional effects of quantitative easing which is rising asset prices (monetary inflation). Even when you hear about deflation it’s often very misleading. This bear market may be a good opportunity to gradually deploy cash for long term returns if you haven’t already.
As an example – the ‘headline’ inflation in the UK (2.9%) that over 10 years increased prices by 29.29% vs. London Property Prices that increased over twice as much. The same applies to other real assets, like company valuations (stocks) or gold.

8. Not considering diversification

Yes, bonds are not as sexy as stocks since your returns may not be as spectacular in the short term but these are excellent diversifiers that may be sometimes better suited depending on your investment objective and time horizon. Other currencies or hard metals/BTC may be good as well. As an example YTD performance (as of March 9th when I did the analysis) was -14.2% for stocks, +6.1% for bonds and +10.7% for Gold.

9. Letting your emotions rule

This is difficult to implement since we tend to have emotional biases. If you do decide to have a small part of your goal-oriented strategic asset allocation dedicated to tactical asset allocation, sector or stock selection emotions could drive investment decisions based on loss aversion or overconfidence (e.g. confusing brains with a bull market). If it’s e.g. the latter try to stay humble/rational and ask yourself if you really have an edge before making a decision.

10. Forgetting to rebalance

Some advisors recommend that investors rebalance their portfolios on a regular time interval while others recommend rebalancing only when the relative weight of an asset class deviates from the target allocation (glide path investments). Either way, this is something that needs to be observed on a regular basis. I aim to discuss glide path investments in future posts.
With all charts: https://bankeronwheels.com/how-do-i-start-investing-start-learning-how-to-invest-in-stocks-and-bonds-by-avoiding-these-10-common-investing-mistakes/
Stay well!
submitted by bankeronwheels to leanfire [link] [comments]

aelf, Chainlink, Lisk Top GitHub Activity Chart Surpassing Bitcoin, Ethereum, EOS

aelf, Chainlink, Lisk Top GitHub Activity Chart Surpassing Bitcoin, Ethereum, EOS

https://preview.redd.it/tzeyu29tp2551.png?width=1300&format=png&auto=webp&s=60ceefbb942297e032990e9a4a6ae7ce63053a80
https://preview.redd.it/1wk001fup2551.png?width=580&format=png&auto=webp&s=185e19c472e70be72ac650b08c5805f09f335f22
Open source projects depend on the public for source code improvement and maintenance. Since there is no consensus on digital asset valuation, the number of commits submitted to GitHub can be used to gauge ecosystem activity. Lisk, aelf, and Chainlink, respectively, are now the top three most active projects ranked by the number of submitted commits over the last 12 months according to data provided by CryptoMiso, June 8, 2020.

Lisk Tops the Github Developer Activity Chart

CryptoMiso ranks blockchain projects according to their developer activity. Herein, “activity” is defined as the number of code contributions to the popular repository platform GitHub. The more the developers, the higher the confidence in the project, a fundamental factor that directly affects the value of a digital asset. More participants also mean more features.


Based on this, Lisk, aelf, and Chainlink, respectively, are the most valuable as developers were unfazed by the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. For the uninitiated, Lisk is an open-source project seeking to drive blockchain accessibility and interoperability. Lisk developers are provided with a software development kit (SDK) for distributed ledger technology (DLT) applications.

https://preview.redd.it/bxob7aryp2551.png?width=453&format=png&auto=webp&s=80643ef07cf1849ea1f9a7aeac9bf385c0ca04fb

aelf Community Continues to Deliver

Closely following Lisk in terms of developer activity on GitHub is the decentralized self-evolving cloud computing blockchain network aelf.

![img](jv7vzox0q2551 " ")
Launched in August 2017, aelf is committed toward providing a high-performance platform for commercial adoption of DLT. The coronavirus pandemic seems to have minimal impact on the aelf ecosystem as it hit its yearly ATH during the lockdown with an impressive 212 commits at the start of March.

https://preview.redd.it/nlhn87e2q2551.png?width=768&format=png&auto=webp&s=26ce79a464b84a36d5d60ad737eb6927206124e2
Interestingly, it only took aelf two days to submit the same number of commits (284) as Ripple had the whole year.

A Win for Chainlink?

It will be food for thought for traders and investors most of whom are glued to price charts, making decisions solely based on price action.
From this “new” ranking, it will be a double win for Chainlink, an oracle network. Perched at third in the CryptoMiso leader-board, it could mean its native token LINK may be undervalued.

https://preview.redd.it/xwf6ljn5q2551.png?width=475&format=png&auto=webp&s=8fd9bf7f2e4858eeb6666ffd2ec59f7c2961c775
The Chainlink network offers reliable tamper-proof inputs and outputs for complex smart contracts across all blockchain networks. The project’s decentralized oracle network provides a robust security guarantee. The protocol’s structure allows multiple Chainlinks to evaluate the same data before it becomes a trigger. This way, it eliminates any one point of failure and keeps the overall value of a smart contract that is highly secure, transparent, and reliable.

Bitcoin, TRON, Ethereum Slide Down the Ranks

While Lisk, aelf, and Chainlink shined on GitHub, other heavyweights in the cryptocurrency ecosystem tumbled.
Bitcoin, the premier cryptocurrency although has well over 100 contributors, failed to provide more than 80 commits on any given day.
In the same vein, the top altcoin, Ethereum, tumbled down to 41st position despite their highly-anticipated ETH 2.0. upgrade poised to be released soon.
Other smart contract projects, such as TRON and EOS displayed similar unimpressive results. Over the past six months, EOS has slid from 11th position down to 19th. TRON, similarly dropped from 18th position to 20th when comparing their 12 months and 6-month activity levels.
submitted by Floris-Jan to aelfofficial [link] [comments]

Our Network Issue #21

Our Network Issue #21

Insight 1 - Market-Realised Gradient

The Decred blockchain has a consistent baseload of demand for block-space, a result of the PoS ticket system and, more recently, on-chain CoinJoin privacy transactions. As such, the Realised Price metric differs in interpretation to Bitcoin. A strong conviction Decred holder actually has a regular and frequent on-chain signature moving DCR as opposed to the equivalent of long periods of dormancy for Bitcoin.
The Realised Price tends to follow the spot price more closely, however lags behind the day-to-day fluctuations in off-chain price sentiment. The chart below presents an experimental metric that takes the 28-day gradient of the Market Cap and Realised Cap, and produces an oscillator from their difference (purple). This tool distills times where off-chain price momentum bias flips before the on-chain response as DCR is bound in tickets and takes time to transact. Where the oscillator crosses the zero level, it often precedes a shift in price momentum in the direction of the flip.\
https://preview.redd.it/6bu8nqznt3y41.png?width=1296&format=png&auto=webp&s=bd1226fab2e792ab72f95cc6ab8047c4c60f9b56

Insight 2 - NVT and RVT Ratio

As noted, Decred has a consistent transaction demand which also shows up as reliable NVT and RVT signals. These metrics take the ratio between network valuation (market cap or realised cap) and the adjusted daily transaction value flowing through the chain, all denominated in USD. The chart below presents the NVT and RVT both in 28-day and 90-day moving average format with sound agreement in trend and magnitude between all.
During periods of bullish sentiment, we can observe low NVT|RVT ratios indicating that the chain is settling a substantial value relative to its network valuation, and vice-versa indicates bearish sentiment. Of particular interest is the period of strong demand for on-chain settlement since Aug 2019 at which point the CoinJoin privacy mix server came live. This provides valuable feedback for the community and developers regarding actual demand for the mixing service, and also gives miners a basis for future fee market expectations.
https://preview.redd.it/w954rgnqt3y41.png?width=1275&format=png&auto=webp&s=f86b365055caa125beaa5dfec7067a2ee5bb0e09

Insight 3 - Cumulative Transaction Volumes

Digging into transaction demand further, the area chart below shows the cumulative DCR settled on-chain through protocol history, divided into regular transactions (orange), ticket purchases (green) and CoinJoin mixes (red). The line charts to the right axis presents the daily transaction volume in DCR for ticket purchases and CoinJoins.
It can be seen that the gradient of the area plot has steepened since the privacy mix service went live, confirming increased demand for block-space. There has been a steady uptick in DCR flowing through the anonymity set with around 110k DCR mined in CoinJoin transactions per day. This represents around 0.96% of the total circulating DCR supply in CoinJoins, and is substantial when compared to the 192k DCR that are mined into tickets daily (1.67% of circ. supply).
https://preview.redd.it/y57bo6xrt3y41.png?width=1329&format=png&auto=webp&s=2bb4815052cd074ef06b33cc88c6d3f068c383b0

Insight 4 - Decred Treasury Flows

The Decred Treasury underpins the self-sovereign development of the protocol, and its accumulated value is subject to the market's pricing of DCR. To date, the treasury has spent a total of $7.625M bootstraping the network from genesis to now when pricing each outgoing transaction on the day of the spend. This represents around one third of the incoming DCR so far and 16% of the total DCR inflows that will occur via the block subsidy ending in year 2140.
Based on a current DCR coin price of $14/DCR, the Treasury is capitalized with enough USD value to build another Decred (assuming $7.625M build cost) and can repeat that metric for each $12 uplift in DCR price given the current Treasury balance of 636.3k DCR.
https://preview.redd.it/v914ebdst3y41.png?width=1339&format=png&auto=webp&s=6b6ee00a258f2a62be102b60ff3873c0417b99d1

Insight 5 - Treasury Vote Power

Finally, an interesting metric to gauge stakeholder governance power is to look at how much Treasury value is governed by each ticket in the PoS pool. The chart below presents the Treasury balance divided by the count of tickets in the pool (red), showing that each ticket commands decision making power of around 15.5 DCR. If we divided this by the purchase price of a ticket denominated in DCR (blue), governance power typically represents around 11% of the ticket value. Given tickets vote on average every 28 days, this means governance power on an annualised basis is equivalent to 143% of a typical ticket in value.
https://preview.redd.it/lq1s5azst3y41.png?width=1334&format=png&auto=webp&s=9ffb7fd567b77eabe44d5ca3e26f0e271f87baa6
submitted by __checkmatey__ to decred [link] [comments]

Decred Foundations - an hour of updates at Consensus Distributed - Tuesday May 12 - 1330 EST

Decred has an hour-long slot (along with many other projects) at Consensus Distributed, 1330-1430 NYC time on Tuesday May 12th. Event link: https://next.brella.io/events/consensusdistributed/schedule/118434
To attend the event and watch live it seems (unfortunately) necessary to register on brella.io, even to read the event description. I am pasting it below.
Videos will be available on the coindesk website afterwards, and an extended edition of Checkmate's segment will be made available on Youtube.
Construct - Building the Decred Ecosystem
In this segment, Richard Red checks in with the developers who are leading on some of Decred's most exciting sub-projects.
Luke Powell will give an update on Politeia, which is the basis for the Decred proposals site and contractor management system.
Matheus Degiovanni will give us the latest on the Decred Lightning Network, catching up with Bitcoin’s lnd development and scoping out the areas where Decred’s LN can go that Bitcoin’s cannot.
We'll be catching up with Jon Chappelow (chappjc) and Brian Stafford (buck) who lead development on dcrdex and dcrdata.
dcrdex is software for an atomic swap based decentralized exchange with no trading fees and no token that anyone can set up and run a server for, and in this session, the lead developers explain what that’s all about, and give an update on progress ahead of the imminent pre-alpha test.
dcrdata is a block explorer that provides incredible depth of information about the Decred chain, including a variety of specialized overviews and charts related to Decred’s voting systems. Dcrdata has been expanding to cover additional data sources, integrating market data, and adding features like an attack cost estimator which allows configuration of PoW and PoS parameters to model the likelihood of success in real-time.
Buck will also give an update on TinyDecred, the python toolset that was his personal project until it was adopted by the Decred stakeholders last year.
Trade Secrets - Decred On-chain Analytics with Checkmate
Checkmate gives a whistle-stop tour of 5 key indicators for monitoring the health of the Decred ecosystem and conviction of stakeholders. The presentation covers the history of the Decred chain through the lens of:
Changelog - 365 Decred Days
Decred co-founder and lead project organizer Jake Yocom-Piatt will deliver a presentation covering the highlights of the last year.
Jake will review the consensus rules changes that have been approved and activated by Decred stakeholders over the last year, which have served to better support the Lightning Network and Simplified Payment Verification.
The presentation will also cover the adoption of these improvements in the Decrediton GUI wallet and mobile wallets, bringing new levels of security and privacy to the latter. The initial privacy tooling release and its uptake will also be considered.
There will also be a review of the year's Treasury spending, efforts to develop the consensus changes to decentralize Treasury spending, and the integration of the Contractor Management System (CMS) with the Politeia proposals platform.
The presentation will also look ahead to the future, with the DCR DEX coming online soon and some more consensus rule change proposals in the pipeline.
Following the 15 minute presentation, there will be a live 10 minute Q&A session with Lucas Nuzzi of Coinmetrics
submitted by Richard-Red to decred [link] [comments]

Our Network Issue 5 (Decred Round 4)

Our Network Issue 5 (Decred Round 4)
Our Network Newsletter Issue #15 (Decreds fourth appearance) is released, check it out here and below. https://ournetwork.substack.com/p/our-network-issue-15

Insight 1 - Stock to Flow Model

The past month of price action in the cryptocurrency markets has been extreme, with Decred price action being no exception. This week we look at a number of key metrics which have reached extreme values, often associated with the formation of price bottoms, reflexivity, and mean reversion.
The first metric is the Stock-to-Flow model which was developed by the author. This model considers a log-log regression fit between Market Cap and the Stock-to-flow ratio of the Decred coin supply. The S2F Multiple is also shown which functions as an oscillator, indicating when network valuation has become oveundervalued relative to the S2F 'fair value' model. Following the price drop on 12/Mar, the DCR S2F multiple has entered the historical low zone last seen in Jan 2017.
https://preview.redd.it/7o6dzb47r5r41.png?width=1528&format=png&auto=webp&s=e8b2f077ffe090dfa3746b2b514c0db63dcd91ee

Insight 2 - Stock-to-Flow Residuals

The next chart shows the statistical distance between the Decred Market Cap and the predicted S2F model valuation, measured in standard deviations. For reference, an equivalent S2F model for Bitcoin is shown, with some interesting similarities in the fractals playing out in Decred's price discovery.
It can be seen for both networks, that as network value approaches ~2x standard deviations from the prediction, price tends to snap back towards the mean. For Bitcoin, this generally coincides with halving events, a shock to S2F value and scarcity. For Decred, this is more closely associated with oversold conditions since the smooth issuance curve is less variable than Bitcoin's.
https://preview.redd.it/1httuil6r5r41.png?width=1520&format=png&auto=webp&s=3f0da25cc47b7969f6fbfed9f9376a13d0c43002

Insight 3 - 142-day Ticket Sum

An on-chain metric developed by u/permabullnino is the 142-day sum of all USD value bound in Decred tickets. DCR coins bound in tickets are indicative of strong demand for holding DCR long term. This metric (red line) has shown to act similar to an upper bound Bollinger Band as resistance during price discovery.
By taking Fibonacci multiples (23.6%, 38.2% and 61.8%) of the 142-day ticket sum, additional trading ranges and boundaries have been identified. In particular, the 23.6% Fibonacci multiple (green line) has provided lower bound support throughout bull and bear cycles. In the 12/Mar market sell-off, price pierced below this level before rapidly bouncing back into the range.
https://preview.redd.it/oigufn86r5r41.png?width=1388&format=png&auto=webp&s=5988ef2953cf40d3c39d8d441af9a1eb4355bd0b

Insight 4 - Puell Multiple

Decred ASIC miners have endured very challenging market conditions after ASIC hardware was first released in Jan 2018, at the peak of the alt-coin market cycle. Given miners are long term thinkers and investors, the Puell Multiple provides insight into whether income streams are profitable or not and the level of stress in the hash-power network.
The Puell Multiple takes the ratio of daily PoW USD income to its 365day average. This provides a view of today's income relative to the past year. Similar to the metrics shown above, the Puell Multiple is approaching an extreme value commonly associated with the proverbial event where 'miners put the bottom in'.
https://preview.redd.it/m1l3lct5r5r41.png?width=1303&format=png&auto=webp&s=e1143baa59722d8e8e9805d17bb6ebf06f8a63ee

Insight 5 - Decred DEX First Atomic Swap

The Decred DEX is currently under development and is aiming to provide trustless exchange between crypto-assets via atomic swap technology. On Wednesday this week, Decred DEX server client successfully coordinated its first trustless exchange between DCR and BTC on test net.
The DEX swapped 42 DCR for 0.42 BTC with an output from bitcoin-core testnet below showing successful receipt of the coins. Full transaction details of the atomic swap are found here for those interested in the inner workings (https://gist.github.com/chappjc/6c5bc6d9244e02249b867e8fe76e4762).
https://preview.redd.it/sb32fll5r5r41.png?width=1079&format=png&auto=webp&s=a2277c81d6993872c1e3a3e52b9d5e80c044ac18
submitted by __checkmatey__ to decred [link] [comments]

Today's Pre-Market News [Wednesday, February 12th, 2020]

Good morning traders and investors of the wallstreetbets sub! Welcome to Wednesday. Here is your pre-market news this AM-

Today's Top Headlines for Wednesday, February 12th, 2020

STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)

YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)

YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

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TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

([CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!](https://i.imgur.com/ifUy0wj.png)
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)

THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

  • SHOP
  • TEVA
  • CVS
  • LYFT
  • ROKU
  • BBBY
  • MRNA
  • CYBR

THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

(source: cnbc.com)
CVS Health (CVS) – The drug store operator beat estimates by 5 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $1.73 per share. Revenue also beat forecasts and CVS gave a full-year EPS outlook of $7.04 to $7.17, compared to a consensus estimate of $7.15 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CVS

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Molson Coors (TAP) – The beer brewer earned $1.02 per share for the fourth quarter, well above the 78 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat Wall Street projections, despite what Molson Coors calls “significant headwinds and continued volume declines.”

STOCK SYMBOL: TAP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) – The world’s largest generic drugmaker beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 62 cents per share. Revenue also topped expectations.

STOCK SYMBOL: TEVA

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Moody’s (MCO) – The credit-rating agency earned $2.00 per share for the fourth quarter, 7 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ forecasts. The company’s full-year outlook for 2020 is also largely above consensus. Moody’s said it is benefiting from increased global bond issuance, as well as increasing demand for research from its Moody’s Analytics unit.

STOCK SYMBOL: MCO

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Shopify (SHOP) – The e-commerce platform company earned an adjusted 43 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 24 cents a share. Revenue also beat forecasts on strong Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales on Shopify’s platform.

STOCK SYMBOL: SHOP

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CyberArk Software (CYBR) – The cybersecurity company beat estimates by 16 cents A share, with quarterly earnings of 97 cents per share. Revenue also came in above consensus. CyberArk said, however, that its full-year adjusted EPS outlook is $2.26-$2.38, below the consensus estimate of $2.79 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CYBR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Lyft (LYFT) – Lyft lost $1.19 per share for the fourth quarter, 20 cents a share less than Wall Street had been expecting. The ride-hailing service’s revenue beat consensus estimates. Lyft also said it is still on track to achieve a key measure of profitability by the end of 2021.

STOCK SYMBOL: LYFT

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – The housewares retailer said same-store sales were down a greater-than-expected 5.4% in December and January, amid increased promotional pricing, lower store traffic, and issues with inventory management.

STOCK SYMBOL: BBBY

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Akamai Technologies (AKAM) – Akamai reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, 10 cents a share above estimates. Akamai’s ’s revenue also beat Street forecasts. Results were driven by strong growth in its cloud security unit, as well as upbeat results for its flagship content delivery platform business.

STOCK SYMBOL: AKAM

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Alphabet (GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will be in court today, seeking to overturn one of three record European Union antitrust fines. Google had been fined $2.6 billion for allegedly favoring its own price comparison shopping service over those of smaller European competitors.

STOCK SYMBOL: GOOGL

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
NCR (NCR) – NCR beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 85 cents per share. The payment processing software and services provider’s revenue was also above Street forecasts.

STOCK SYMBOL: NCR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Western Union (WU) – Western Union reported quarterly earnings of 38 cents per share, 5 cents a share below estimates. The payment processing company’s revenue also beat forecasts, and Western Union gave an upbeat outlook for 2020. The company announced a 13% increase in its quarterly dividend as well.

STOCK SYMBOL: WU

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Macerich (MAC) – Macerich was downgraded to “underweight” from “neutral” at Piper Sandler, which thinks Simon Property’s (SPG) acquisition of Taubman Centers (TCO) makes an acquisition of the shopping center operator less likely.

STOCK SYMBOL: MAC

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

DISCUSS!

What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at wallstreetbets?

I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, February 12th, 2020! :)

submitted by bigbear0083 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

KYC is absolutely not acceptable for MakerDAO!

I've heard that founder of MakerDAO is not strictly against KYC. I have a message to whole community and specifically to a founder of MakerDAO Rune Christensen. I will explain using concrete examples why having KYC in MakerDAO is a grave mistake and it will lead to MakerDAO fork.
Many people in the first world never actually understand why financial privacy and financial inclusion is important. Even people (in the first world) who seemingly supportive of such ideas are not able to provide any concrete examples of why it's actually important.
Unfortunately, I was born in a "wrong" country (Uzbekistan) and I experienced first hand what financial exclusion actually means. I know first hand that annoying feeling when you read polite, boilerplate rejection letter from financial institution based in first world. So I had to become practical libertarian. I'm going to give you concrete examples of financial discrimination against me. Then I'm going to explain fundamental reasons why it happens. And finally, I'm going to explain my vision for DAI.
Back in 2005, I lived in Uzbekistan. I had an idea to invest in US stocks. I was very naive and I didn't know anything about investing, compliance, bank transfers, KYC etc. All I knew is nice long term charts of US stocks and what P/E means. I didn't contact any US brokerage but I checked information about account opening and how to transfer money there. I approached local bank in Uzbekistan and asked how to transfer money to Bank of New York. Banker's face was like - WOW, WTF?!?! They asked me to go to private room to talk with senior manager. Senior manager of local bank in Uzbekistan asked me why I wanted to transfer money to US. They told me that it's absolutely impossible to transfer money to US/EU and pretty much anywhere. I approached nearly every local bank in the town and they told me the same.
In 2012, I already lived in Moscow and acquired Russian citizenship. I got back to my old idea - investing in US stocks. I called to many US brokerages and all of them politely rejected me. Usually when I called I asked them if I can open an account with them. They told me to hold on line. After long pause, I was able to speak with "senior" support who politely explain me that Russia in their list of restricted countries and they can't open an account for me. Finally, I was able to open an account with OptionsXpress. Next challenge was to convince local Russian bank to transfer money to US. Back then in 2012, I was able to get permission to do so. So you might say - is this happy end?
Fast forwarding US brokerage story to 2017, OptionsXpress was acquired by Charles Schwab. I was notified that my OptionsXpress account will be migrated to Charles Schwab platform. In 2017, I already lived in the Netherlands (but still having Russian citizenship). I wasn't happy with my stupid job in the Netherlands. I called Charles Schwab and asked if I quit my job in the Netherlands and have to return to Russia, what will happen with my account. Schwab told me that they will restrict my account, so I can't do anything except closing my account. So even if I was long term customer of OptionsXpress, Charles Schwab is not fully okay with me.
Going back to 2013, I still lived in Russia. I had another idea. What if I quit my job and build some SAAS platform (or whatever) and sell my stuff to US customers. So I need some website which accept US credit cards. I contacted my Russian bank (who previously allowed me to transfer money to OptionsXpress) about steps to make in order to accept US credit cards in Russia. I've been told explicitly in email that they won't allow me to accept US credit cards under any circumstances.
Back then I still believed in "the free west". So I thought - no problem, I will just open bank account abroad and do all operations from my foreign account. I planned vacation in Hong Kong. And Hong Kong is freest economy in the world. Looks like it's right place to open bank account. I contacted HSBC Hong Kong via email. Their general support assured me that I can open bank account with them if I'm foreigner. I flew to Hong Kong for vacation and visited HSBC branch. Of course, they rejected me. But they recommended me to visit last floor in their HQ building, they told me that another HSBC branch specializes on opening bank accounts for foreigners. I went there and they said minimum amount to open bank account is 10 mil HKD (1.27 mil USD). Later I learned that it's called private banking.
When I relocated to the Netherlands, I asked ABN Amro staff - what's happen with my bank account if I quit/lose my job in the Netherlands and have to return back to Russia. I've been told that I can't have my dutch bank account if I go back to Russia even if I already used their bank for 2+ years.
I still had idea that I would like to quit my job and do something for myself. The problem is that I'm Russian citizen and I don't have any residency which is independent from my employment. So if I quit my job in the Netherlands, I have to return back to Russia. I wanted to see how I would get payments from US/EU customers. I found Stripe Atlas, it's so exciting, they help you to incorporate in US, and even help with banking, all process of receiving credit card payments is very smooth. But as usual in my case, there is a catch - Russia in their list of restricted countries.
Speaking of centralized compliance-friendly (e.g. KYC) crypto exchanges. This year I live and work in Hong Kong. Earlier this year, I thought it would be nice to have an account at local crypto exchange in Hong Kong so I can quickly transfer money from my bank account in Hong Kong to crypto exchange using FPS (local payment system for fast bank transfers). What could go wrong? After all Hong Kong is freest economy in the world, right? I submitted KYC documents to crypto exchange called Weever including copy of my Hong Kong ID as they requested. They very quickly responded that they need copy of my passport as well. I submitted copy of my Russian passport. This time they got silent. After a few days, they sent me email saying that Russia is on the US Office of Foreign Assets Control sanction list, so they just require me to fill a form about source of the funds. I told them that the source of my funds is salary, my Hong Kong bank can confirm that along with my employment contract. They got very silent after I sent them a filled form. After a week of silence I asked them - when my account get approved? They said that their compliance office will review my application soon. And they got very silent again. I waited for two or three weeks. Then I asked them again. And I immediately got email with title - Rejection for Weever Account Opening. And text of email was:
We are sorry to inform you that Weever may not be able to accept your account opening application at this stage.
Exactly the same situation I had with one crypto exchange in Europe back in 2017. Luckily I have accounts at other crypto exchanges including Gemini, one of most compliance obsessed exchange in the world. Although I don't keep my money there because I can't trust them, who knows what might come into head of their compliance officer one sunny day.
By the way, I'm living and working outside of Russia for quite a few years. The situation with crypto exchanges is much worse for those who still living in Russia.
I give you a few other examples of financial discrimination is not related to troubles with my Russian citizenship.
Back in 2018, I still lived in the Netherlands. I logged in into my brokerage account just to buy US ETFs as I always do - SPY and QQQ. I placed my order and it failed to fill. I thought it's just a technical problem with my brokerage account. After a few failed attempts to send buy orders for SPY and QQQ, I contacted their support. What they told me was shocking and completely unexpected. They said I'm not permitted to buy US ETFs anymore as EU resident because EU passed a law to protect retail investors. So as a EU resident I'm allowed to be exposed to more risk by buying individual US stocks but I'm not allowed to reduce my risk by buying SPY because ... EU wants to protect me. I felt final result of new law. By the way, on paper their law looks fine.
And the final example. It's a known fact that US public market become less attractive in recent decades. Due to heavy regulatory burden companies prefer to go public very late. So if successful unicorn startup grows from its inception/genesis to late adoption, company's valuation would be 3-5 orders of orders of magnitude. For example, if valuation of successful company at inception is 1 Mil USD, then at its very latest stage it's valuation would be 10 Bil USD. So we have 10'000 times of growth. In the best case scenario, company would go public at 1 Bil USD 5-10 years before reaching its peak 10 Bil USD. So investors in private equity could enjoy 1000 fold growth and just leave for public only last 10 fold growth stretched in time. In the worst case scenario, company would go public at 10 Bil USD, i.e. at its historical peak. But there are well known platforms to buy shares of private companies, one of such platforms is Forge Global. You can buy shares of almost all blue chip startups. You can even invest in SpaceX! But as always, there is a catch - US government wants to protect not just US citizens but all people in the world (sounds ridiculous, right?). US law requires you to have 1 Mil USD net worth or 200'000 USD annual income if you want to buy shares of non-public company. So if you are high-net worth individual you can be called "accredited investor". Funny thing is that the law intends to protect US citizens but even if you are not US citizen and never even lived in US, this law is still applies to you in practice. So if you are "poor loser", platforms like Forge Global will reject you.
So high-net worth individuals have access and opportunity to Bitcoin-style multi-magnitude growth every 5-10 years. Contrary to private equity markets, US public markets is low risk/low return type of market. If you have small amount of capital, it's just glorified way to protect yourself from inflation plus some little return on top. It's not bad, US public market is a still great way to store your wealth. But I'm deeply convinced that for small capital you must seek fundamentally different type of market - high risk/high return. It's just historical luck that Bitcoin/Ethereum/etc were available for general public from day one. But in reality, viral/exponential growth is happening quite often. It's just you don't have access to such type of markets due to regulatory reasons.
I intentionally described these examples of financial discrimination in full details as I experienced them because I do feel that vast majority of people in the first world honestly think that current financial system works just fine and only criminals and terrorists are banned. In reality that's not true at all. 99.999% of innocent people are completely cut off from modern financial system in the name of fighting against money laundering.
Here is a big picture why it's happening. There are rich countries (so called western world) and poor countries (so called third world). Financial wall is carefully built by two sides. Authoritarian leaders of poor countries almost always want full control over their population, they don't like market economy, and since market forces don't value their crappy legal system (because it works only for close friends of authoritarian leader) they must implement strict capital control. Otherwise, all capital will run away from their country because nobody really respects their crappy legal system. It only has value under heavy gun of government. Only friends of authoritarian leader can move their money out of country but not you.
Leaders of rich countries want to protect their economy from "dirty money" coming from third world. Since citizens of poor countries never vote for leaders of rich countries nobody really cares if rich country just ban everyone from poor country. It's the most lazy way to fight against money laundering - simply ban everyone from certain country.
Actually if you look deeper you will see that rich countries very rarely directly ban ordinary people from third world. Usually, there is no such law which doesn't allow me to open bank account somewhere in Europe as non-EU resident. What's really happens is that US/EU government implement very harsh penalties for financial institutions if anything ever goes wrong.
So what's actually happens is that financial institutions (banks, brokerages etc) do de-risking. This is the most important word you must know about traditional financial system!
So if you have wrong passport, financial institution (for example) bank from rich country just doesn't want to take any risks dealing with you even if you are willing to provide full documentation about your finances. It's well known fact that banks in Hong Kong, Europe, US like to unexpectedly shutdown accounts of thousands innocent businesses due to de-risking.
So it's actually de-risking is the real reason why I was rejected so many times by financial institutions in the first world!!! It's de-risking actually responsible for banning 99.999% of innocent people. So governments of rich democratic countries formally have clean hands because they are not banning ordinary people from third world directly. All dirty job is done by financial institutions but governments are well aware of that, it's just more convenient way to discriminate. And nobody actually cares! Ordinary citizens in rich countries are never exposed to such problems and they really don't care about people in third world, after all they are not citizens of US/EU/UK/CH/CA/HK/SG/JP/AU/NZ.
And now are you ready for the most hilarious part? If you are big corrupt bureaucrat from Russia you are actually welcome by the first world financial institutions! All Russian's junta keep their stolen money all across Europe and even in US. You might wonder how this is possible if the western financial system is so aggressive in de-risking.
Here is a simple equation which financial institution should solve when they decide whether to open an account for you or not:
Y - R = net profit
Where:
Y - how much profit they can make with you;
R - how much regulatory risk they take while working with you;
That's it! It's very simple equation. So if you are really big junta member from Russia you are actually welcome according to this equation. Banks have special name for serving (ultra) high-net worth individuals, it's called private banking. It's has nothing to do with the fact that bank is private. It's just fancy name for banking for rich.
So what's usually happen in real world. Some Estonian or Danish bank got caught with large scale money laundering from Russia. European leaders are ashamed in front of their voters. They implement new super harsh law against money laundering to keep their voters happy. Voters are ordinary people, they don't care about details of new regulations. So banks get scared and abruptly shutdown ALL accounts of Russian customers. And European voters are happy.
Modern money laundering laws are like shooting mouse in your house using bazooka! It's very efficient to kill mouse, right?
Now imagine world without financial borders. It's hard to do so because we are all get so used to current status quo of traditional financial system. But with additional effort you can start asking questions - if Internet economy is so global and it doesn't really matter where HQ of startup is located, why they are all concentrated in just a few tiny places like Silicon Valley and ... well, that's mostly it if you count the biggest unicorns!
Another question would be - why so many talented russian, indian, chinese programmers just go to the same places like San Francisco, London and make super rich companies like Amazon, Google, Facebook, Apple to get even richer? If all you need is laptop and access to internet, why you don't see any trade happening between first and third world?
Well actually there is a trade between first and third world but it's not exactly what I want to see. Usually third world countries sell their natural resources through giant corporations to the first world.
So it's possible to get access to the first world market from third world but this access usually granted only to big and established companies (and usually it means not innovative).
Unicorns are created through massive parallel experiment. Every week bunch of new startups are created in Silicon Valley. Thousands and thousands startups are created in Silicon Valley with almost instant access to global market. Just by law of large numbers you have a very few of them who later become unicorns and dominate the world.
But if you have wrong passport and you are located in "wrong" country where every attempt to access global market is very costly, then you most likely not to start innovative startup in the first place. In the best case scenario, you just create either local business or just local copy-paste startup (copied from the west) oriented on (relatively small) domestic market. Obviously in such setup it's predictable that places like Silicon Valley will have giant advantage and as a result all unicorns get concentrated in just a few tiny places.
In the world without financial barriers there will be much smaller gap between rich and poor countries. With low barrier of entry, it won't be a game when winner takes all.
Whole architecture of decentralized cryptocurrencies is intended to remove middle man and make transactions permissionless. Governments are inherently opposite to that, they are centralized and permissioned. Therefore, decentralized cryptocurrencies are fundamentally incompatible with traditional financial system which is full of middle mans and regulations (i.e. permissions).
Real value of crypto are coming from third world, not the first world. People are buying crypto in rich countries just want to invest. Their financial system and their fiat money are more or less already working for them. So there is no immediate urgency to get rid of fiat money in the first world. So the first world citizens buying crypto on centralized KYCd exchanges are essentially making side bet on the success of crypto in third world.
Real and natural environment of cryptocurrencies is actually dark OTC market in places like Venezuela and China.
But cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum have a big limitation to wide adoption in third world - high volatility.
So the real target audience is oppressed (both by their own government and by first world governments) ordinary citizens of third world countries yet they are least who can afford to take burden of high volatility.
Right now, Tether is a big thing for dark markets across the world (by the way, dark market doesn't automatically imply bad!). But Tether soon or later be smashed by US/EU regulators.
The only real and working permissionless stable cryptocurrency (avoiding hyped word - stablecoin) is DAI.
DAI is the currency for post-Tether world to lead dark OTC market around the world and subvert fiat currencies of oppressive third world governments.
Once DAI become de-facto widespread currency in shadow economy in all of third world, then it will be accepted (after many huge push backs from governments) as a new reality. I'm talking about 10-20+ years time horizon.
But if MakerDAO chooses the route of being compliance friendly then DAI will lose its real target audience (i.e. third world).
I can not imagine US/EU calmly tolerate someone buying US stocks and using as a collateral to issue another security (i.e. DAI) which is going to be traded somewhere in Venezuela! You can not be compliance friendly and serve people in Venezuela.
Facebook's Libra was stupidest thing I've seen. It's extremely stupid to ask permission from the first world regulators to serve third world and create borderless economy. Another stupid thing is to please third world governments as well. For example, Libra (if ever run) will not serve Indian, Chinese, Venezuelan people. Who is then going to use stupid Libra? Hipsters in Silicon Valley? Why? US dollars are good enough already.
submitted by omgcoin to MakerDAO [link] [comments]

Key Bitcoin Trading Tips

Bitcoin Trading Tip #1: Become Fluent in Technical Analysis

The nature of Bitcoin makes it an outlier in comparison to other asset classes or currencies. There is no central bank or governing body to influence its valuation. News events can have unpredictable impacts, and other financial instruments exhibit sporadic correlations. In fact, Bitcoin pricing models are largely speculative, ignoring a great deal of traditional financial theory.
Understanding the basics of technical analysis is an absolute must before entering the Bitcoin markets. In many ways, price itself provides the only dependable clues pertaining to Bitcoin’s future value. The lack of relevant market fundamentals places an impetus upon analyzing pricing charts, applying indicators, and reading price action.

Bitcoin Trading Tip #2: Adopt a Sustainable Pace

Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. One of the most important tasks facing Bitcoin market participants is establishing a schedule that is sustainable over the long haul. Putting in extraordinarily long hours on a daily basis leads to burnout and subpar performance.

Bitcoin Trading Tip #3: Stay Aware of News Items

Bitcoin is unique in that typical news items do not have a predictable impact upon the markets. There are no scheduled GDP releases, WASDE or EIA inventory reports to boost participation and skew pricing.

Bitcoin Trading Tip #4: Implement Stop Losses

Consistent volatility is an attribute of Bitcoin markets that is particularly attractive to active traders and investors. Valuations regularly fluctuate between 5 percent and 10 percent daily , creating opportunities for traders with an appetite for risk.
No matter if a trader is engaging the cash, CFD, or Bitcoin futures markets, using stop losses is a must when trading Bitcoin. The wide swings in pricing are certainly ripe for profit, but the potential for catastrophe does exist.
It’s absolutely imperative that you use a stop loss somewhere in the market — the exact placement will vary — to protect any open position.

Bitcoin Trading Tip #5: Use Prudent Leverage

It’s a cliché, but leverage is truly a double-edged sword: It boosts gains but magnifies losses. Too much leverage promotes reckless money management and will lead to blowing out your trading account. Too little can hinder performance because premium trades may not perform up to their capabilities. Ultimately, effectively managing leverage is a balancing act that a Bitcoin trader must conduct.
Bitcoin futures products may help you manage leverage because they place an extra emphasis on proper leveraging. The offerings of the CME Group and Chicago Futures Exchange (CFE) are priced at $25 and $10 per tick, respectively. To say the least, it can be capitally intensive to take multicontract positions.
A simple way to define position sizing is the 3 percent rule. Under its parameters, a maximum of 3 percent of the trading account may be assigned to a single trade. This ensures the proper alignment of risk to reward with respect to position sizing and stop loss location.
submitted by Boomah422 to contractstrilema [link] [comments]

How I am trading the Dow Jones

How I am trading the Dow Jones

My current open trade positions including 2x Dow Long Trades
I currently have 2 long positions open on the Dow Jones index and have been trading the recent bull run for almost 2 weeks now. The long term trend for this index is definitely bullish and any pullbacks in price are swiftly being met by more new buyers.
Dow 4hr chart
There are a few reasons for this. Firstly, there is no reason for US stocks to sell off in a dramatic fashion. There have (and always will be) lots of rumours of a recession with US debt levels rising and stocks being “overpriced” but that alone is not a reason to expect a recession right now.
Stocks have been called overpriced since the dawn of time because naturally they increase in price as time goes on. Much like the cost of a loaf of bread, inflation causes the prices of stocks to rise and Index’s will replace stocks that lose a lot of market cap with new up and coming stocks.
The second reason people keep calling for a recession immeidately is because of the increased levels of debt and borrowing in the USA.
The levels of US debt (measured as a % of GDP) are at their highest since World War 2 but that is not a major problem. The US Dollar is still used as a global reserve currency. It is why you will see many 3rd world countries preferring to accept it over their own currency and it is used as the base for Crude Oil and Gold valuations so the demand for US dollars will almost always be apparent.
US Debt (GDP %)
Many people say Gold or Bitcoin is the next major backup for currency when the recession hits but the simple fact is that you can’t pay for anything with gold. No business is going to accept gold in exchange for food & water, rent, mortgage payments or utilities bills. And bitcoin is about as stable as 2 legged donkey.
My trade entries:
My first long position entry developed from a quick day trade I planned and entered last week. I entered a very tight stop loss, short duration trade with a reasonable reward:risk of just under 3R.
Dow 15 min chart
I spotted a good daily buying trend appearing. Price had rejected a major support zone at $28,150 and from there it one ton to make nice higher highs and higher lows through the follow 4 days of trading. I entered long on the bounce of the bullish trendline and 50 EMA.
I closed a good percentage of my position at my first profit target which is shown on the chart above. However there was strong bullish momentum and I am still holding a portion of that initial long trade position open.
Dow 4hr chart
My second long trade position was entered on Monday morning after price had made a clear higher higher low and bounced off of the intraday support/resistance zone at $28,900. There was a strong 4hr bullish wick rejection candle closure and price closed above the support zone and 50 EMA.
Both trade entries are just very simple trend continuation entries with good reward:risk ratios.
Fundamentals & data:
Later today we have the U.S Crude Oil inventories data being released. This shouldn’t move the Dow Jones Index unless a shock figure is announced. Theoretically if inventory levels are massively increased then the price of Crude will fall dramatically and this will pull stocks down. The opposite can be said if Crude Oil price rises sharply.
This evening (7pm GMT) there is the US monthly budget statement for JAN 2020 but this shouldn’t move markets in a major way. However, you may see some short term volatility moves.
The main mover of markets this week will be the USD consumer price index data that is being released tomorrow afternoon. Inflation can be a double edged sword because it can stimulate job growth and as we have seen recently, the US job market is still growing rapidly. However, inflation can also effect corporations and their profit levels because it costs more to purchase goods/materials used for production.
We also have the ongoing global issue of the Corona Virus. it initiated the last big sell-off on global indices at the end of January and the related headlines will continue to influence the markets.
Long term price predictions:
Dow daily chart
If price continues to climb today then I would like to think there is enough momentum to break through the $29,500 resistance zone. If this happens then I see no reason why new all time highs won’t be achieved and a significant daily/4hr higher will made.
Dow 4hr chart
Long term profit targets are set at $29,800 which is a higher high for price. From there, if that level breaks then the key psychological level of $30,000 is next in line. I know there are a lot of professional and institutional traders wanting to see “Dow to $30k” and I am certain Mr Trump wants to see stocks climb right up until he is re-elected.
The alternative scenario is that price finds more resistance at $29,500 and begins to drop off. This is not a major issue and I will likely look to take some more profits if rejections of that price zone begin to appear.
*Taken from my blog site https://diaryofafinancekid.com/blog/
submitted by TheModernSpeculator to Daytrading [link] [comments]

Today's Pre-Market News [Wednesday, February 12th, 2020]

Good morning traders and investors of the stocks sub! Welcome to Wednesday. Here is your pre-market news this AM-

Today's Top Headlines for Wednesday, February 12th, 2020

STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)

YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)

YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

([CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!](https://i.imgur.com/ifUy0wj.png)
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)

THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

  • SHOP
  • TEVA
  • CVS
  • LYFT
  • ROKU
  • BBBY
  • MRNA
  • CYBR

THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

(source: cnbc.com)
CVS Health (CVS) – The drug store operator beat estimates by 5 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $1.73 per share. Revenue also beat forecasts and CVS gave a full-year EPS outlook of $7.04 to $7.17, compared to a consensus estimate of $7.15 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CVS

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Molson Coors (TAP) – The beer brewer earned $1.02 per share for the fourth quarter, well above the 78 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat Wall Street projections, despite what Molson Coors calls “significant headwinds and continued volume declines.”

STOCK SYMBOL: TAP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) – The world’s largest generic drugmaker beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 62 cents per share. Revenue also topped expectations.

STOCK SYMBOL: TEVA

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Moody’s (MCO) – The credit-rating agency earned $2.00 per share for the fourth quarter, 7 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ forecasts. The company’s full-year outlook for 2020 is also largely above consensus. Moody’s said it is benefiting from increased global bond issuance, as well as increasing demand for research from its Moody’s Analytics unit.

STOCK SYMBOL: MCO

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Shopify (SHOP) – The e-commerce platform company earned an adjusted 43 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 24 cents a share. Revenue also beat forecasts on strong Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales on Shopify’s platform.

STOCK SYMBOL: SHOP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
CyberArk Software (CYBR) – The cybersecurity company beat estimates by 16 cents A share, with quarterly earnings of 97 cents per share. Revenue also came in above consensus. CyberArk said, however, that its full-year adjusted EPS outlook is $2.26-$2.38, below the consensus estimate of $2.79 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CYBR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Lyft (LYFT) – Lyft lost $1.19 per share for the fourth quarter, 20 cents a share less than Wall Street had been expecting. The ride-hailing service’s revenue beat consensus estimates. Lyft also said it is still on track to achieve a key measure of profitability by the end of 2021.

STOCK SYMBOL: LYFT

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – The housewares retailer said same-store sales were down a greater-than-expected 5.4% in December and January, amid increased promotional pricing, lower store traffic, and issues with inventory management.

STOCK SYMBOL: BBBY

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Akamai Technologies (AKAM) – Akamai reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, 10 cents a share above estimates. Akamai’s ’s revenue also beat Street forecasts. Results were driven by strong growth in its cloud security unit, as well as upbeat results for its flagship content delivery platform business.

STOCK SYMBOL: AKAM

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Alphabet (GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will be in court today, seeking to overturn one of three record European Union antitrust fines. Google had been fined $2.6 billion for allegedly favoring its own price comparison shopping service over those of smaller European competitors.

STOCK SYMBOL: GOOGL

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
NCR (NCR) – NCR beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 85 cents per share. The payment processing software and services provider’s revenue was also above Street forecasts.

STOCK SYMBOL: NCR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Western Union (WU) – Western Union reported quarterly earnings of 38 cents per share, 5 cents a share below estimates. The payment processing company’s revenue also beat forecasts, and Western Union gave an upbeat outlook for 2020. The company announced a 13% increase in its quarterly dividend as well.

STOCK SYMBOL: WU

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Macerich (MAC) – Macerich was downgraded to “underweight” from “neutral” at Piper Sandler, which thinks Simon Property’s (SPG) acquisition of Taubman Centers (TCO) makes an acquisition of the shopping center operator less likely.

STOCK SYMBOL: MAC

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

DISCUSS!

What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at stocks?

I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, February 12th, 2020! :)

submitted by bigbear0083 to stocks [link] [comments]

Before you start speculating about 'alt season', look at the goddamn market.

3 of the top 20 projects are exchange tokens. 3 of them are Bitcoin clones. 1 is an Ethereum clone.
Before I go further, I'll mention this: I don't think we'll have another nonsensical bull run that will lead to the entire market going up. I think the bubble has popped for real, and that we're close enough to adoption territory that the trash will helplessly slip into oblivion while projects that are able to generate organic demand will naturally insert themselves in our daily lives and thrive. If you believe that we've got at least one big bull market left, then feel free to ignore this.
Back to the market. Look at it. Does it feel like it makes sense to you? I've been looking for the answer to this question, and unfortunately the best I've got so far is both yes and no. What kind of metrics can you even use to evaluate whether it makes sense or not? If you look at market cap as a combined measure of future potential and current utility, you're left totally baffled by some of this market's top pics. If you look at market cap as an indicator of an evolving sentiment, however, then it makes sense - because there's virtually no organic demand. People only care about percentage gained or lost. There is zero visibility because there are no viable metrics for valuation. Litecoin's market cap (for example) could be $1B instead of $4B and nobody would give a shit, if it had been 4x small from the start. It wouldn't suddenly rise due to being 'undervalued'.
So, look closely at fundamentals. There absolutely are undervalued picks and the market won't spot them in time because people only look at charts.
submitted by bLbGoldeN to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Seems like a good candidate for a 10 X or 20 X ?

CoinMetro (XCM) is currently sitting at ~350K market cap and rank 1220.
It’s an exchange registered in the EU (Estonia) and started by a guy called Kevin Murcko, who is fairly well-known in the financial services world and a board member at the European Crypto Association.
CoinMetro’s strategy seems to be to build an exchange with really nice UX/UI, particularly with a view to making crypto accessible for newbies. One of the things that got me excited is that they’ve implemented a similar idea to eToro’s copytrader (they call it “Trade Mirror”) – meaning you can allocate funds to automatically copying the positions that more experienced traders open. It’s essentially a way to remove the barriers to entry for people who don’t have the time, knowledge or experience to manage a crypto portfolio for themselves. This is something that allowed eToro to grow very rapidly (they recently hit 12M active users in 140 countries) – it gives ordinary people exposure to markets they wouldn’t otherwise have the ability to trade. (NB, you already can trade a few top-20 cryptos on eToro, so it’s not a totally untapped market).
Coinmetro also seem to be experimenting with the mechanics of placing orders to try to make it less daunting - so you can buy via “Simplex” which is essentially Uniswap (just bang in what you want and off you go), you can choose “Express” for a normal exchange experience, or “Pro” to add in features like margin trading, indicators, advanced charting, etc. If you go check out the exchange you can see they’re trying to do something fresh and engaging with it. It’s not quite there yet, but hey, ~350K market cap and early days.
Other stuff to note… it’s a fully licensed Fiat on-and-off ramp (licenses are here and here); they do 24/7 support chat (which I’ve used, and it’s actually good)… token economics are pretty sensible, with 330M max supply (only about 8.5m in circulation). Much like BNB, the token gets you discounts on trading fees, but you do it by locking up the token (which will promote scarcity) and there’s a smart contract in place that automatically market-buys XCM using all of the exchange fees they collect (i.e. there’s a perpetual buyback in place). In other words, demand for the token scales with demand for the exchange. XCM tokens bought in this way are locked up for 4 years.
What else… they’ve managed to accrue a decent enough grass-roots following so far with about 4k on Twitter, 3.5K on Facebook, 1K on LinkedIn. There’s 24 team members listed on LinkedIn, who all seem to be human people (they’re currently recruiting more). The CEO does weekly AMAs in the Telegram; he does quite a bit of public speaking and appears on crypto vlogs like Bloxlive fairly regularly. The native iOS and Android apps were just released, with and are well-rated so far (4.6 out of 5). There’s over 200 articulate, well-researched blog posts on the site itself, and about 50 on their Medium. The 2020 roadmap is here and worth a look.
In my opinion, they’ve mostly been held back by poor timing so far. They started to promote the product just before the bottom fell out of the market in 2018 (their ICO opened 11th December, less than a month before the 6th January crash). They still raised $15 million, and have apparently still got plenty of gas in the tank (their last accounts filing shows $6.5 million). Oh, and the fact you can only buy XCM on Coinmetro itself right now! Volume is currently pretty shocking, but the roadmap covers some of the ways they’re planning to grow it (B2B outreach, ambassador programme, new marketing director)
I mean, in a market where whitepapers regularly get 100m valuations, I see absolutely no reason this can’t 10X or 20X. As an example of a "lesser-known" exchange, KuCoin Shares (KCS) is currently at 100M market cap, which would be a 250X from here. In the last bull run, KuCoin hit $1.8 billon market cap – which would be a like a… 4000 X ?
I mean, this seems to me like the definition of a moonshot. Tiny market cap, huge upside, good fundamentals, asymmetric risk profile.
Thank you for coming to my TED talk. What do you think?
submitted by Meowface_the_cat to CryptoMoonShots [link] [comments]

Today's Pre-Market News [Wednesday, February 12th, 2020]

Good morning traders and investors of the StockMarket sub! Welcome to Wednesday. Here is your pre-market news this AM-

(CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE FULL SOURCE!)

Today's Top Headlines for Wednesday, February 12th, 2020

STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)

YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)

YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

([CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!](https://i.imgur.com/ifUy0wj.png)
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)

THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

  • SHOP
  • TEVA
  • CVS
  • LYFT
  • ROKU
  • BBBY
  • MRNA
  • CYBR

THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

(source: cnbc.com)
CVS Health (CVS) – The drug store operator beat estimates by 5 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $1.73 per share. Revenue also beat forecasts and CVS gave a full-year EPS outlook of $7.04 to $7.17, compared to a consensus estimate of $7.15 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CVS

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Molson Coors (TAP) – The beer brewer earned $1.02 per share for the fourth quarter, well above the 78 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat Wall Street projections, despite what Molson Coors calls “significant headwinds and continued volume declines.”

STOCK SYMBOL: TAP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) – The world’s largest generic drugmaker beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 62 cents per share. Revenue also topped expectations.

STOCK SYMBOL: TEVA

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Moody’s (MCO) – The credit-rating agency earned $2.00 per share for the fourth quarter, 7 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ forecasts. The company’s full-year outlook for 2020 is also largely above consensus. Moody’s said it is benefiting from increased global bond issuance, as well as increasing demand for research from its Moody’s Analytics unit.

STOCK SYMBOL: MCO

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Shopify (SHOP) – The e-commerce platform company earned an adjusted 43 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 24 cents a share. Revenue also beat forecasts on strong Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales on Shopify’s platform.

STOCK SYMBOL: SHOP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
CyberArk Software (CYBR) – The cybersecurity company beat estimates by 16 cents A share, with quarterly earnings of 97 cents per share. Revenue also came in above consensus. CyberArk said, however, that its full-year adjusted EPS outlook is $2.26-$2.38, below the consensus estimate of $2.79 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CYBR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Lyft (LYFT) – Lyft lost $1.19 per share for the fourth quarter, 20 cents a share less than Wall Street had been expecting. The ride-hailing service’s revenue beat consensus estimates. Lyft also said it is still on track to achieve a key measure of profitability by the end of 2021.

STOCK SYMBOL: LYFT

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – The housewares retailer said same-store sales were down a greater-than-expected 5.4% in December and January, amid increased promotional pricing, lower store traffic, and issues with inventory management.

STOCK SYMBOL: BBBY

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Akamai Technologies (AKAM) – Akamai reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, 10 cents a share above estimates. Akamai’s ’s revenue also beat Street forecasts. Results were driven by strong growth in its cloud security unit, as well as upbeat results for its flagship content delivery platform business.

STOCK SYMBOL: AKAM

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Alphabet (GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will be in court today, seeking to overturn one of three record European Union antitrust fines. Google had been fined $2.6 billion for allegedly favoring its own price comparison shopping service over those of smaller European competitors.

STOCK SYMBOL: GOOGL

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
NCR (NCR) – NCR beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 85 cents per share. The payment processing software and services provider’s revenue was also above Street forecasts.

STOCK SYMBOL: NCR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Western Union (WU) – Western Union reported quarterly earnings of 38 cents per share, 5 cents a share below estimates. The payment processing company’s revenue also beat forecasts, and Western Union gave an upbeat outlook for 2020. The company announced a 13% increase in its quarterly dividend as well.

STOCK SYMBOL: WU

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Macerich (MAC) – Macerich was downgraded to “underweight” from “neutral” at Piper Sandler, which thinks Simon Property’s (SPG) acquisition of Taubman Centers (TCO) makes an acquisition of the shopping center operator less likely.

STOCK SYMBOL: MAC

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

FULL DISCLOSURE:

bigbear0083 has no positions in any stocks mentioned. Reddit, moderators, and the author do not advise making investment decisions based on discussion in these posts. Analysis is not subject to validation and users take action at their own risk. bigbear0083 is an admin at the financial forums Stockaholics.net where this content was originally posted.

DISCUSS!

What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at StockMarket?

I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, February 12th, 2020! :)

submitted by bigbear0083 to StockMarket [link] [comments]

The Bitcoin Chart NOBODY is Seeing Right Now Bitcoin Price Chart & Analysis (Feb 12th, 2020) Historical Price of Bitcoin (2010 - 2019) Bitcoin: The beauty of mathematics Bitcoin & NYSE open live! BTC price targets & chart analysis, Dow Jones & S&P 500 - TA

BCH:USD chart by TradingView. Stats More charts. With Bitcoin, supply represents the number of coins which have already been mined. The supply of Bitcoin increases as more of it is mined. Supply NaN Maximum supply (often shortened to max supply) is the total number of coins or tokens that can ever exist. Max Supply Buy Bitcoin. Purchase Bitcoin using a credit card or with your linked bank account via an online exchange. Learn More. Use Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Send real money quickly to anywhere in the world, basically for free. Learn More. Play Games with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Bitcoin Games is a provably fair gaming site. The stock-to-flow model (SF), popularized by a pseudonymous Dutch institutional investor who operates under the Twitter account “PlanB,” has been widely praised and is the leading valuation model for bitcoin proponents. SF has achieved viral popularity and inspired rags-to-riches dreams for those gambling it all on the future of bitcoin. Bitcoin history price chart since 2009 to 2018. On the price chart there is shown historical value of BTC cryptocurrency, log graph of Bitcoin market capitalization and the most reasonable historical dates. As the market valuation of the total stock of bitcoins approached US $1 billion, some commentators called bitcoin prices a bubble. In 2015 Bitcoin chart by Tyler Durden of Zero Hedge. A current positive influencer of Bitcoin price, or at least perception, is the ">Argentinian situation. Argentina’s newly-elected President, Mauricio Macri, has pledged to end capital controls. This would eliminate the wide disparity between the official and black-market peso/USD exchange rates.

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The Bitcoin Chart NOBODY is Seeing Right Now

CZ ZERO to BILLION VALUATION ... 3:00. Is This Bitcoin (BTC) Movement Real or Fake!-Crypto Market Technical Analysis & Cryptocurrency News - Duration: ... BTC price targets & chart analysis, ... This video discusses the current bitcoin prices and technical analysis of the recent price action. Thank you for watching! ... Bitcoin + Alts Price Chart & Analysis (Feb 20th, 2020) - Duration: 12 ... This chart has correctly identified some of the best entries and exits in Bitcoin during the last bull run. Can it help you catch the next bull run? Join our discord server! https://discord.gg ... There are some important signals on a chart of bitcoin that very few people are watching right now. What does it mean for BTC? We explain in this video. For more on Bitcoin visit: https://www ... 01:34 Crypto Marketcap & Trendline chart 03:57 Time taken to reach previous ATH 05:18 BTC price prediction 05:50 Youtube Influencers 10:19 Fair valuation vs Trendline chart 12:25 Over-valuation ...

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